Bear Market Scenarios and Probabilities

Level 4- Turbo Autist

Welcome Avatar! We’re hopeful that you guys at least took some profits in Q4. The majority (based on emails we got) was around a 2.5-3.0x. Frankly, this is great for a 3 year return. We all wish it was possible to buy the pico bottom and sell the pico top but if you did that general return, you compressed ~15 years of S&P returns in just three years.

Nothing to be ashamed of.

That’s all in the rearview mirror. Today we’re watching as BTC trades at $71,000 and ETH is trading at $2,100. Now the game is being patient + avoiding the urge to tag the pico bottom.

This post goes over downside and other markets that fall, Sunday we’ll point out the ones that typically go up y/y (no they don’t fly like crypto but making money is good enough during the bear)