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W8's avatar

Lacking much detail about the flywheel ponzi-nomics that enabled the entire bubble.

Canada's RE bubble, like all RE bubbles before it, isn't special.

Lots of clowns still claim insufficient supply. Yet, there's never been more vacant dwellings than recent times.

There were two distinct mania phases: 2014-2016; 2020-2022.

Picotop = Q1/Q2 '22, varying per locale.

Imagine the USA bubble then add:

-Generally less intelligent pop'n with less investing savvy/options

-Tax system incentivizing RE speculation (cap-gains free on "primary")

-Absurd level of fraud (easily preventable!) to acquire mortgages (banks happy to oblige)

-Three distinct group of greater fools: "old-stock" cucknadians whom haven't seen downturn 25+ yrs; Chinese immigrants whom never exp'd RE downturn, Largest bagholder demographic Indian immigrants whom again never experienced RE downturn

-Social Media! USA got a RE bubble pre-social media. Imagine what trouble one would get up to if that occurred during the era of social media? Taking investment advice from TikTok, etc. is common: ppl think land-lording is passive income.

CA RE bubble should be 4-10x worse than USA.

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W8's avatar

Cabral's opinion sounds like the PoV of someone who got some heavy Canada RE bags.

Foch's take is closer to the mark.

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