30 Comments
User's avatar
Cossack's avatar

Can't believe people still aren't noticing anything. One of the biggest events in recent history and no one's talking about it.

BowTied Bull's avatar

No one even understands. Our twitter mentions is all filled with "its a swiss bank doesn't impact me"

Totally insane.

belowaveragedude's avatar

why would people notice things about boring old finance when they can watch and gossip about beautiful people winning awards for being in movies

BowTied Bull's avatar

Yeah entertainment is the best biz, Ie go into politics

Konstantin's avatar

Guys, I am surprised you didn‘t figure out why it is those „surprisingly exact 54 Billion USD“.... The Swiss Central bank spokesman said „up to 50 Billion“, but obviously, he was talking in Swiss Francs, and with the current conversion rate, that ends up in those „oddly specific 54 Billion USD“.

BowTied Bull's avatar

Ahh didn't catch it, either way we'll see.

Crypto for the Commoner's avatar

Great post as always! Things are getting real out there...

BowTiedNileCroc.ETH's avatar

I have a question regarding what can be kept safely in banks. I bank in Europe where the deposit insurance is at €100K limit. I never keep more than the €100K as cash. The rest I park in index fund. If - God forbid - my bank runs into trouble. How will my index fund holdings be treated?

BowTied Bull's avatar

If you're at a brokerage they usually just give you your shares.

Not at risk of the shares being lost. That is how it works in the USA but would go ahead and check Euro regulations to be safe.

ballislife's avatar

Jungle, anyone familiar with infinite banking/bank on yourself whole life policies. Are those at risk as well? Asking for a friend....

ballislife's avatar

Not sure where cash value life insurance policies / life insurance fall in all of this. Deposits aren't FDIC insured but they claim A+++ ratings

F3Money's avatar

View with extreme skepticism.

HonestMath did a tear down explaining the actual risks never mentioned in their illustrations.

If all assumptions pan out, you can benefit, but mostly you’ll take on more risk than you realize and get raped by fees.

ballislife's avatar

thanks for the response. do you have a link to HonestMath's breakdown? Cant seem to find it

Any thoughts regarding the safety of these considering the banking system fears atm?

ballislife's avatar

Any thoughts on the safety of the funds? im familiar with the returns of the product

Artem's avatar

I really appreciate this Bull but btw I’m a paid subscriber but not for so long or I don’t really understand all this very good

>If you’re a paid subscriber you already know what we’d be doing

I don’t understand this. I saw my bank is a partner to CS even though I live in balkans.

What do you recommend I should do?

BowTied Bull's avatar

Not sure what banks are avaialble in the balkans, our market is usa

So message is clear only use the big 4 banks that's it.

Odogg55's avatar

Assume ok to deposit with non-big 4, thats pays 4.25% apy, as long as less than $250k?

BowTied Bull's avatar

As long as it is under $250K you will be fine. Just recognize you may be waiting some time to get the money back if it does go to zero.

actualLocke's avatar

You mean *when* it goes to zero? ;)

Batkov's avatar

I don't have a twitter, occasionally open to see what's going on; just found your account and subbed, looks promising.

I still need to read everything but looks like everything is falling apart rn, tldr?

BowTied Bull's avatar

Just read sunday post and post any question you have on next sunday post (tomorrow).

TL;DR if you run a biz or have any money not FDIC insured you *must* move it to a major big 4 banks today.

BowTiedWookie's avatar

Very interesting that he is bearish on short term treasuries in 2023. Understand he has some sort of counterweight to his bet (or enough money that it’s just worth the publicity) but has his stance on this made you think throwing everything in treasuries is too risky rn

https://twitter.com/balajis/status/1636822077775941633?s=46&t=h_KKKiWNcEKK3kjRAG-Vjw

BowTied Bull's avatar

Yeah you can never go all in on any single investment vehicle. Since no one knows what Powell is going to do. The startegy is clear from the Sunday post though (in our opinion)

Ryo's avatar

One thing is not clear to me. In the text you wrote that CS is an investment bank, and then in the text you explained how banks create money through deposits and loans. Isn't the main task of an investment bank to provide services and raise money, and not to collect deposits and approve loans?

BowTiedScholar's avatar

The note about Zero Hedge you made in this article. Also unironic their article about Nigerian CBDC came out shortly after the CBDC update on BTB. Article: https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/worlds-largest-cbdc-trial-preview-elites-cashless-vision-you